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What will be the state of Kurdish militant activities in Syria by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in activities • 25%
Decrease in activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements
Story
Turkey's Foreign Minister Fidan Asserts No Shelter for PKK/YPG in Syria, Emphasizes Ceasefire in Gaza
Dec 28, 2024, 03:17 PM
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan conveyed a firm stance to U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken during a recent phone call, stating that Turkey will not permit the PKK/YPG terrorist organization to establish a presence in Syria. Fidan emphasized that the Turkish government is committed to ensuring the security and territorial integrity of Syria, asserting that no shelter will be allowed for Kurdish militants. He also highlighted the necessity for increased efforts to achieve a lasting ceasefire in Gaza. This communication underscores Turkey's ongoing concerns regarding Kurdish militant activities in the region and its support for the Syrian government's stability.
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Unchanged • 25%
Moderately diminished • 25%
Increased • 25%
Significantly diminished • 25%
No autonomy • 25%
Increased autonomy • 25%
Maintained current autonomy • 25%
Reduced autonomy • 25%
Disarmed but not integrated • 25%
Integrated into political system • 25%
Remain armed and independent • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No change in militant presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal of Kurdish militants • 25%
Increased Kurdish militant presence • 25%
Significant reduction in militant activity • 25%
Lay down arms and integrate into society • 25%
Remain active in reduced capacity • 25%
Exiled from Syria • 25%
Join other militant groups • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Defeated • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
Significantly reduced • 25%
Maintained • 25%
Expanded • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Militants seek negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Militants relocate • 25%
Increased militant activity • 25%