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What will be the result of any international mediation efforts between Israel and Lebanon by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful mediation • 25%
Unsuccessful mediation • 25%
Mediation ongoing • 25%
No mediation initiated • 25%
Official statements from mediating countries or international organizations, verified news reports
Story
Israeli President Denies Connection to Deadly Lebanon Pager Bombings
Sep 22, 2024, 11:57 AM
Israel's Permanent Representative to the United Nations has refused to admit that Israel is behind the pager bombings in Lebanon. The President of Israel, Isaac Herzog, has also denied any connection to the deadly attacks caused by exploding pagers and walkie-talkies in Lebanon. Herzog stated, 'I reject out of hand any connection to this or that.' The incident, which occurred this week, has led to significant tension between the two countries. The denial from Tel Aviv came on Sunday.
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of Conflict • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued military operations • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire negotiations failed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire, but no formal agreement • 25%
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Peace agreement • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Escalation into military conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%