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What will be the outcome of international diplomatic efforts in the Israel-Lebanon conflict by the end of 2024?
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Tayyip Erdogan•Israel•Lebanon•Hezbollah•Hassan Nasrallah•Israeli strikes•Erdogan•UN Security Council
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Official statements from involved countries and international organizations
Story
Erdogan Condemns Israel's Actions in Lebanon as 'Genocide' After Nasrallah's Death
Sep 28, 2024, 02:13 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has condemned Israel's recent actions in Lebanon, describing them as part of a policy of 'genocide, occupation, and invasion.' Following the death of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in Israeli strikes, Erdogan accused Israel of becoming increasingly reckless and called on the UN Security Council and other international bodies to intervene. He emphasized that Israel's aggressive policies, which he referred to as 'madness,' must be stopped to prevent further escalation in the region. Erdogan specifically mentioned that Lebanon and its people have become new targets of Israel's actions.
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Temporary truce • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Unsuccessful mediation • 25%
Mediation ongoing • 25%
No mediation initiated • 25%
Israel withdraws troops • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant diplomatic progress • 25%
Increased sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Major Escalation • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Ceasefire holds with no major incidents • 25%
Ceasefire holds with some minor incidents • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with renewed hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated with new terms • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful stabilization • 25%
Partial stabilization • 25%
No stabilization • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%