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Market
What will be the public reaction to the investigation into Marine Le Pen and the National Rally party by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for National Rally • 25%
Decreased support for National Rally • 25%
No significant change in support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Public opinion polls from credible polling organizations
Story
French Prosecutors Investigate Marine Le Pen, National Rally Over 2022 Campaign Financing Fraud
Jul 9, 2024, 10:08 AM
French prosecutors have launched an investigation into Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Rally party, over allegations of illegal financing of her 2022 presidential campaign. The Paris prosecutor's office is probing suspicions that Le Pen's party misappropriated taxpayer-generated funds from the European Parliament to support her campaign, BFMTV reports. This investigation follows the National Rally's unexpected defeat in the recent elections, where the Socialists and Communists emerged victorious just days after.
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Increased support for Le Pen • 25%
Decreased support for Le Pen • 25%
No significant change in support • 25%
Polarized public opinion • 25%
No charges • 25%
Charges but no conviction • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Other • 25%
Widespread support for Le Pen • 25%
Widespread opposition to Le Pen • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Increase in Popularity • 25%
Decrease in Popularity • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
All guilty • 25%
All not guilty • 25%
Mixed verdict • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
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Decrease in support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized opinions • 25%
Resigns from politics • 25%
Continues in current role • 25%
Takes a different political role • 25%
Suspended from political activities • 25%
Banned from holding public office • 25%
Allowed to run for president in 2027 • 25%
Receives a fine but no ban • 25%
No penalties • 25%
Remains RN Leader • 25%
Steps Down as RN Leader • 25%
Barred from Running in 2027 • 25%
Other • 25%
Found guilty and sentenced to prison • 25%
Found guilty but no prison sentence • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Trial extended beyond 2024 • 25%
Convicted with prison sentence • 25%
Convicted with fine only • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%