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What will be the outcome of the investigation into Marine Le Pen's 2022 campaign financing by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No charges • 25%
Charges but no conviction • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Paris prosecutor's office or credible news sources
Story
French Prosecutors Investigate Marine Le Pen Over Fraud and Illegal 2022 Campaign Financing
Jul 9, 2024, 11:08 AM
French prosecutors have launched an investigation into Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right National Rally party, over allegations of illegal financing during her 2022 presidential campaign. The Paris prosecutor's office opened the probe on July 2, 2024, focusing on suspicions that Le Pen's party misappropriated taxpayer funds from the European Parliament to support her campaign. The investigation also includes allegations of fraud, embezzlement, and forgery. This investigation comes shortly after Le Pen's party suffered a surprising defeat in recent elections, where the Socialists and Communists emerged victorious.
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No charges filed • 25%
Charges filed against Marine Le Pen • 25%
Charges filed against other National Rally members • 25%
Charges filed against both Le Pen and other members • 25%
Found guilty and sentenced to prison • 25%
Found guilty but no prison sentence • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Trial extended beyond 2024 • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted with prison sentence • 25%
Convicted with fine only • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
All guilty • 25%
All not guilty • 25%
Mixed verdict • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted and sentenced to prison • 25%
Convicted but no prison sentence • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial or retrial ordered • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%