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Market
What will be the public opinion on Sarkozy's trial outcome by May 10, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority satisfied • 25%
Majority dissatisfied • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Poll results published by major polling organizations such as Ipsos or IFOP
Story
Nicolas Sarkozy Faces Trial Over Alleged €50 Million Libyan Financing for 2007 Campaign
Jan 5, 2025, 11:45 AM
Former French President Nicolas Sarkozy is set to stand trial starting Monday, January 6, 2025, over allegations that he accepted illegal campaign financing from the late Libyan dictator Moamer Kadhafi for his successful 2007 presidential campaign. Sarkozy, who has already been convicted twice in separate cases, faces charges of corruption, passive bribery, criminal association, illegal campaign financing, and concealment of public fund embezzlement. The trial, which is expected to last until April 10, 2025, will also involve three former ministers and nine other defendants. The accusations stem from a purported pact between Sarkozy and Kadhafi, where the Libyan leader allegedly provided around €50 million in exchange for political favors, including international rehabilitation and lucrative contracts. Sarkozy has denied these allegations, claiming they are part of a conspiracy against him.
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Indifferent • 25%
Predominantly critical • 25%
Predominantly supportive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Majority indifferent • 25%
No clear majority opinion • 25%
Majority oppose sentencing • 25%
Majority support sentencing • 25%
Majority support conviction • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Opinion evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose conviction • 25%
More opposed • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
More supportive • 25%
Convicted on some charges • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted on all charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Divided • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Mostly Opposed • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted but given a suspended sentence • 25%
Convicted and sentenced to prison • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Majority Support Conviction • 25%
Opinion Remains Divided • 25%
No Clear Majority • 25%
Majority Oppose Conviction • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty with prison sentence • 25%
Guilty with suspended sentence • 25%
Mistrial or retrial • 25%
Conviction upheld • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Prison sentence • 25%
Fine only • 25%
Other • 25%
Suspended sentence • 25%