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Market
Public opinion on Sarkozy's conviction by end of 2025
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority Support Conviction • 25%
Majority Oppose Conviction • 25%
Opinion Remains Divided • 25%
No Clear Majority • 25%
Public opinion polls from reputable sources such as IFOP or IPSOS
Story
France's Highest Court Upholds Sarkozy's Corruption Conviction, Sentences Him to One Year House Arrest with Electronic Bracelet
Dec 18, 2024, 05:11 PM
France's highest court, the Cour de Cassation, has upheld the conviction of former President Nicolas Sarkozy for corruption and influence peddling in the 'Bismuth' case, marking a historic ruling. Sarkozy, who served as president from 2007 to 2012, was sentenced to three years in prison, with one year to be served under house arrest with an electronic bracelet. This decision makes him the first former French head of state to face such a penalty. The conviction stems from the 'Bismuth' case, where Sarkozy and his lawyer Thierry Herzog were found to have offered favors to a high-ranking judge, Gilbert Azibert, in exchange for confidential information about another judicial investigation. Sarkozy has announced plans to appeal to the European Court of Human Rights, arguing the decision is unjust. Despite the appeal, the sentence remains enforceable, and Sarkozy will have to comply with the terms of his house arrest. Additionally, he faces a three-year ineligibility period from holding public office.
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Majority support conviction • 25%
Majority oppose conviction • 25%
Opinion evenly split • 25%
No clear majority • 25%
Majority support sentencing • 25%
Majority oppose sentencing • 25%
Majority indifferent • 25%
No clear majority opinion • 25%
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No change • 25%
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Mostly Opposed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
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Attempts political comeback • 25%
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Retires from politics • 25%
Attempts political comeback • 25%
Involved in political advisory role • 25%
Other political involvement • 25%
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