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What will be the primary impact of U.S. license on Syria by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in humanitarian aid • 25%
Growth in energy sector • 25%
Improvement in diplomatic relations • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Analysis from think tanks or reports from international organizations
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U.S. Issues General License for Syria Allowing Transactions with Government Institutions, Energy Sector, and Personal Remittance Transactions
Jan 6, 2025, 06:57 PM
The U.S. Treasury Department has issued a general license for Syria, allowing transactions with government institutions and certain energy and personal remittance transactions. This decision aims to facilitate humanitarian aid to Syria. The license specifically permits personal remittances to Syria, including through the Central Bank of Syria. The Biden administration's move is seen as a limited sanctions waiver, enabling transactions related to the sale, supply, storage, or donation of energy resources, including petroleum and natural gas. This development marks a significant shift in U.S. policy towards Syria, aimed at addressing the humanitarian needs of the country.
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Significant Improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Moderate Improvement • 25%
No Improvement • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
Increased Stability • 25%
Continued Chaos • 25%
Withdrawal of U.S. Forces • 25%
Strengthened U.S. Presence • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Reduction to core 900 troops • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Successful transition • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Failed transition • 25%
Partial transition • 25%
Economic reform • 25%
Human rights • 25%
Terrorism ties • 25%
Geopolitical alliances • 25%
Increased opposition to Assad regime • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other political shifts • 25%
Increased support for Assad regime • 25%