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Market
What will be the primary challenge faced by SpaceX in developing the U.S. Deorbit Vehicle by the end of 2028?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Technical design issues • 25%
Funding and budget constraints • 25%
Regulatory and safety approvals • 25%
Supply chain and manufacturing delays • 25%
Official announcements, news reports, or statements from SpaceX or NASA
Story
SpaceX Selected to Develop U.S. Deorbit Vehicle for ISS with 6x Propellant, 4x Power by 2030
Jul 17, 2024, 05:55 PM
SpaceX has been selected to design and develop the U.S. Deorbit Vehicle, which will safely deorbit the International Space Station in 2030. The new vehicle will feature six times more propellant and four times the power of the current Dragon spacecraft, ensuring a precise and controlled deorbit. This advanced spacecraft, often referred to as 'Dragon on Steroids,' represents a significant upgrade in capabilities. The design of the ISS-deorbiting vehicle is based on the Dragon spacecraft.
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Funding issues • 25%
Technical difficulties • 25%
Regulatory hurdles • 25%
Supply chain delays • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Contract signing • 25%
Design completion • 25%
Prototype ready • 25%
Testing phase • 25%
Booster recovery anomaly • 25%
Launch delay • 25%
Payload issue • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful Deployment • 25%
Delayed Deployment • 25%
Canceled • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Starship Orbital Launch • 25%
Mars Mission Launch • 25%
Starlink Global Coverage • 25%
Other • 25%