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Market
Will SpaceX conduct the first successful test flight of the U.S. Deorbit Vehicle by the end of 2027?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from SpaceX or NASA
Story
SpaceX Selected to Develop U.S. Deorbit Vehicle for ISS with 6x Propellant, 4x Power by 2030
Jul 17, 2024, 05:55 PM
SpaceX has been selected to design and develop the U.S. Deorbit Vehicle, which will safely deorbit the International Space Station in 2030. The new vehicle will feature six times more propellant and four times the power of the current Dragon spacecraft, ensuring a precise and controlled deorbit. This advanced spacecraft, often referred to as 'Dragon on Steroids,' represents a significant upgrade in capabilities. The design of the ISS-deorbiting vehicle is based on the Dragon spacecraft.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful Deployment • 25%
Delayed Deployment • 25%
Canceled • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Contract signing • 25%
Design completion • 25%
Prototype ready • 25%
Testing phase • 25%
