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Market
SpaceX deorbit vehicle completed by end of 2027?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NASA or SpaceX official announcements
Story
Elon Musk's SpaceX to Deorbit International Space Station in $843M NASA Contract
Jun 27, 2024, 04:00 AM
NASA has selected Elon Musk's SpaceX to bring the International Space Station out of orbit and into the ocean after its retirement in 2030. SpaceX has been awarded an $843 million contract for this task, with plans to develop a vehicle for the mission. The decision to deorbit the ISS has sparked discussions and reactions within the space community.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Completion of design phase • 25%
First successful test flight • 25%
Full operational readiness • 25%
None of the above by end of 2026 • 25%
Technical design issues • 25%
Funding and budget constraints • 25%
Regulatory and safety approvals • 25%
Supply chain and manufacturing delays • 25%
Contract signing • 25%
Design completion • 25%
Prototype ready • 25%
Testing phase • 25%