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What will be the outcome of U.S. sanctions on Sudan's General Al-Burhan by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed and effective • 25%
Sanctions imposed but ineffective • 25%
Sanctions not imposed • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Reports from U.S. government or international news agencies
Story
U.S. to Impose Financial Sanctions on Sudan's General Al-Burhan, Citing Three Sources
Jan 16, 2025, 12:30 PM
The United States is set to impose financial sanctions on Sudanese leader and army chief General Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, according to Reuters, citing three sources with direct knowledge of the matter. The anticipated sanctions are in response to the Sudanese military's violations against civilians, targeting of infrastructure, blocking of humanitarian aid, and refusal to participate in peace talks. General Al-Burhan has preemptively responded to the sanctions, stating that he and the military are prepared to face them, welcoming the measures as a means to serve the country.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Leadership change • 25%
Increased military control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Compliance with demands • 25%
Other • 25%
No response • 25%
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Sanctions imposed and ICC resists • 25%
Sanctions imposed and ICC complies • 25%
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Other • 25%
Removed by force • 25%
Remains in power • 25%
Other • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. and EU • 25%
U.S. only • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
U.S., EU, and others • 25%
European Union • 25%
None • 25%
Arab League • 25%
African Union • 25%
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