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How will Sudan's military respond to U.S. sanctions by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Compliance with demands • 25%
Retaliatory measures • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Sudan's military or government
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U.S. Officials Confirm Sudan's Military Used Chemical Weapons at Least Twice Against RSF, Sanctions Expected
Jan 16, 2025, 04:18 PM
The United States has determined that Sudan's military has employed chemical weapons in its ongoing conflict against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) paramilitary group. U.S. officials confirmed that these chemical weapons were used on at least two occasions. In response to these findings, sanctions against the Sudanese military chief are anticipated. This development highlights the severity of the conflict in Sudan, where the military is engaged in intense fighting with the RSF.
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Neutral • 25%
No official response • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Retaliatory actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
Al-Burhan remains in power • 25%
Al-Burhan steps down • 25%
Peaceful transition of power • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Sanctions not imposed • 25%
Sanctions imposed but ineffective • 25%
Sanctions imposed and effective • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
U.S. and EU • 25%
U.S. only • 25%
U.S., EU, and others • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
Engagement in diplomatic talks • 25%
Public condemnation of sanctions • 25%
Increase in regulatory measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
