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What will be the outcome of U.S. military-technical countermeasures against Russia by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Deployment of new missile systems • 25%
Increased military presence in Europe • 25%
Cyber or electronic warfare measures • 25%
No significant countermeasures • 25%
Official U.S. military announcements or credible defense analysis
Story
Russia to Abandon Intermediate- and Short-Range Nuclear-Capable Missile Moratorium, Lavrov Warns of Decisive Response
Dec 29, 2024, 11:27 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced that Russia will abandon its unilateral moratorium on the deployment of intermediate- and short-range nuclear-capable missiles. This decision, made in response to the United States' deployment of similar weapons, indicates a significant shift in Russia's military posture. Lavrov stated that the current moratorium is 'practically nonviable' and must be lifted, emphasizing that Russia will take decisive action against any new missile threats from the U.S. and NATO. He warned that if the U.S. continues its provocative actions, Russia will respond with military-technical countermeasures. This development marks a potential escalation in tensions between Russia and Western nations, particularly in the context of ongoing geopolitical conflicts.
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Other • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased military exercises • 25%
Deployment of new missile systems • 25%
Other • 25%
Cyber defense initiatives • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Hypersonic missile attack • 25%
Increased airstrikes • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement on missile limitations • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Resolution through Conflict • 25%
De-escalation Achieved • 25%
Moderate improvement in air defenses • 25%
Degradation of air defenses • 25%
No noticeable improvement • 25%
Significant improvement in air defenses • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
No change in US support to Ukraine • 25%
US increases military support to Ukraine • 25%
US reduces military support to Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%