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What will be the outcome of Russia-U.S. diplomatic efforts by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Russian or U.S. governments, international news outlets
Story
Russia Urges Citizens to Avoid Travel to U.S. and Allies Amidst Rising Tensions
Dec 11, 2024, 10:56 AM
The Russian Foreign Ministry has issued a travel advisory urging its citizens to refrain from non-emergency travel to the United States and its satellite states, citing increased confrontation and the risk of detention by American authorities. This comes as relations between Russia and the U.S. are described as teetering on the verge of rupture. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov mentioned that the Kremlin would consider another prisoner exchange with the U.S. once Donald Trump takes office. Additionally, Russia has sent a request for approval of a new ambassador to the U.S., indicating ongoing diplomatic efforts despite the tensions.
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New treaty signed • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Diplomatic breakdown • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
Economic agreement • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
No Change • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Significantly improved • 25%
Moderately improved • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Improved communication channels • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
Severed Diplomatic Ties • 25%