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What will be the outcome of the Russia nuclear threat situation by end of 2025?
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Antony Blinken•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Financial Times•Blinken•Putin•China•Russia•Beijing•Moscow
Resolution / Starting Odds
De-escalation Achieved • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Resolution through Conflict • 25%
Official reports from international organizations or major news outlets
Story
Outgoing U.S. Secretary Blinken Warns of Rising Nuclear Threat from Putin, Cites China's Intervention
Jan 4, 2025, 09:04 AM
Outgoing U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken expressed concern over the possibility of Russian President Vladimir Putin using nuclear weapons in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. In an interview with the Financial Times, Blinken stated that the U.S. was 'very concerned' as intelligence suggested Putin was considering the nuclear option, with the probability of such an action rising from 5% to 15%. Blinken emphasized that 'when it comes to nuclear weapons, nothing is more serious.' He also revealed that the U.S. believes China may have intervened to dissuade Russia from nuclear escalation, with Beijing reportedly telling Moscow, 'Don’t go there.' This statement underscores the heightened tensions and the international efforts to prevent nuclear conflict in the region.
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Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military build-up by NATO • 25%
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Proceed with nuclear test • 25%
Seek international mediation • 25%
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Increased airstrikes in Ukraine • 25%
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
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