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Outcome of Russian retaliation to ATACMS interception by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hypersonic missile attack • 25%
Increased airstrikes • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Official statements from the Russian Ministry of Defense or Ukrainian government reports
Story
Russia Uses S-400, Pantsir-SM to Intercept Eight U.S. ATACMS Missiles, 72 Drones; Captures Nadiia Village
Jan 4, 2025, 08:38 AM
Russia reported on Saturday that its air defense systems, specifically the S-400 and Pantsir-SM, successfully intercepted eight U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles launched by Ukraine, along with 72 drones. The Russian Defense Ministry stated that these ATACMS missiles, which have a range of 300 kilometers, were downed. This incident follows Moscow's warnings that the use of such missiles could provoke a hypersonic ballistic missile attack on central Kyiv. Additionally, the Russian military claimed to have captured the Ukrainian village of Nadiia in the eastern Luhansk region, amidst ongoing conflicts.
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Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Economic measures • 25%
Diplomatic action • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant change in relations • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased military action by Israel • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Other response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Cyberattack • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Challenge rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Challenge accepted and conducted • 25%
Challenge accepted but not conducted • 25%
No official response • 25%
Call for de-escalation • 25%
Support for Ukraine's actions • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine's actions • 25%
Military Assistance to Ukraine • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy becomes more permissive • 25%
Policy becomes more restrictive • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%