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Outcome of U.S. efforts to acquire Greenland by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Greenland acquired by U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Efforts abandoned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Danish governments or credible news outlets
Story
Trump Jr. Visits Greenland as Trump Threatens Tariffs to Acquire Territory for National and Economic Security
Jan 9, 2025, 04:30 AM
Donald Trump Jr. visited Greenland, arriving in Nuuk, the capital, to tour the island. The visit comes amid President-elect Donald Trump's renewed interest in acquiring Greenland, which he described as crucial for U.S. national security and economic security. Trump has not ruled out using military or economic action to take control of the territory, and has threatened to impose high tariffs on Denmark if it resists his efforts. Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory, is strategically important due to its location between the U.S. and Russia, and its rich deposits of natural resources including oil, gas, and rare earth minerals. The U.S. maintains a military presence at the Pituffik Space Base in Greenland's northwest, and the island's resources are seen as vital for the transition to green technologies.
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Other outcome • 25%
Greenland is acquired by the US • 25%
Greenland remains under Danish control • 25%
Denmark agrees to lease parts of Greenland to the US • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Greenland joins the U.S. • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Denmark rejects offer • 25%
Greenland acquisition successful • 25%
Greenland acquisition rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
U.S. withdraws interest • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Formal rejection by Denmark/Greenland • 25%
No formal action taken • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Withdrawn by U.S. • 25%
Accepted by Denmark • 25%
Rejected by Denmark • 25%
No Proposal Made • 25%
Negotiations Ongoing • 25%
Purchase Agreement Reached • 25%
Offer Rejected by Denmark • 25%
No Formal Offer Made • 25%
Purchase rejected • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No official proposal made • 25%
Purchase completed • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Successful acquisition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks initiated but no acquisition • 25%
Rejected by Denmark • 25%
No proposal made • 25%
Accepted by Denmark • 25%
Under negotiation • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Formal purchase proposal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Greenland becomes U.S. territory • 25%
Greenland remains with Denmark • 25%
Negotiations start • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No formal proposal made • 25%
Accepted • 25%
Rejected • 25%