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What will be the outcome of US-Canada relations discussions by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal merger talks • 25%
Strengthened economic ties • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official announcements from governments, credible news sources
Story
Trump Urges Canada to Join U.S.: "What a Great Nation It Would Be!"
Jan 6, 2025, 06:19 PM
Following the resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, US President-elect Donald Trump has reiterated his call for Canada to merge with the United States as the 51st state. On social media, Trump declared, "Many people in Canada love being the 51st State. The United States can no longer suffer the massive trade deficits and subsidies that Canada needs to stay afloat. Justin Trudeau knew this, and resigned." He added, "If Canada merged with the U.S., there would be no tariffs, taxes would go way down, and they would be totally secure from the threat of the Russian and Chinese ships that are constantly surrounding them. Together, what a great Nation it would be!!!" Trump's comments have sparked discussions about the future of Canada-US relations and the potential economic and security benefits of such a union.
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Improved Relations • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tariffs lifted • 25%
No change • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Tariffs avoided through agreement • 25%
Partial tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
No Resolution • 25%
Informal Understanding • 25%
Formal Agreement Reached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Diplomatic tensions • 25%
Increased trade agreements • 25%
Strengthened security measures • 25%
Improved • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Worsened • 25%
No Major Change • 25%
Security Policy • 25%
Immigration Policy • 25%
Trade Policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Border security • 25%
Trade • 25%
Fentanyl and drug smuggling • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Significant trade conflict • 25%