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Will Canada initiate merger talks with the US by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Canadian or US governments, or credible news sources
Story
Trump Urges Canada to Join U.S.: "What a Great Nation It Would Be!"
Jan 6, 2025, 06:19 PM
Following the resignation of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, US President-elect Donald Trump has reiterated his call for Canada to merge with the United States as the 51st state. On social media, Trump declared, "Many people in Canada love being the 51st State. The United States can no longer suffer the massive trade deficits and subsidies that Canada needs to stay afloat. Justin Trudeau knew this, and resigned." He added, "If Canada merged with the U.S., there would be no tariffs, taxes would go way down, and they would be totally secure from the threat of the Russian and Chinese ships that are constantly surrounding them. Together, what a great Nation it would be!!!" Trump's comments have sparked discussions about the future of Canada-US relations and the potential economic and security benefits of such a union.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Supports merger • 25%
Opposes merger • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No comment • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Tax harmonization • 25%
Other measures • 25%
Trade agreements • 25%
Investment incentives • 25%
Moderate support • 25%
Opposition • 25%
Strong support • 25%
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Majority support merger • 25%
No significant polling • 25%
Split opinion • 25%
Majority oppose merger • 25%
