Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's involvement in the Ukraine conflict by 2025?
3
Volodymyr Zelensky•Donald Trump•Russia•Ukraine•The Sun•Zelensky•Trump•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Russian Federation•American•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Conflict ends with peace agreement • 25%
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Reports from international organizations, official announcements from the involved governments, and credible news agencies
Story
Zelensky Confident President-elect Trump's Unpredictability Can End Ukraine War
Jan 5, 2025, 08:15 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed confidence that incoming U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's strength and unpredictability could help end Russia's invasion of Ukraine. In an interview published by The Sun, Zelensky said that Trump's decisive qualities might be instrumental in stopping Russian President Vladimir Putin and providing Ukraine with strong security guarantees. "He is strong and unpredictable," Zelensky said. "I would very much like President Trump's unpredictability to apply primarily to the Russian Federation." He added, "This shows the influence of Donald Trump, and this has never happened before with an American president." Zelensky also noted that European leaders are attentive to Trump's influence, saying, "When I talk about something with Donald Trump, whether we meet in person or we just have a call, all the European leaders always ask, 'How was it?'" Zelensky believes that the war will end under Trump's presidency and that Trump may be the first leader to visit Ukraine after the conflict ends.
View original story
Similar markets
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Proposals rejected • 25%
No decision • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Conflict de-escalates • 25%
Conflict ends • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Preliminary talks only • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Peace negotiations started • 25%
Cease-fire agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%