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Outcome of Trump's mediation in Russia-Ukraine conflict by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without resolution • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties or credible international news sources
Story
Trump to Speak with Putin and Zelensky, Urges End to Ukraine "Carnage"
Dec 16, 2024, 05:25 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in an effort to end the ongoing war in Ukraine. Expressing concern over the conflict, Trump stated, "Everyone is being killed... it's gotta stop." He emphasized the need for both leaders to come to an agreement, suggesting that Zelensky should be prepared to make a deal. Trump described resolving the Russia-Ukraine situation as more difficult than addressing issues in the Middle East and mentioned receiving signals from Ukraine indicating a desire to end the war.
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Peace agreement reached • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement on certain issues • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed indefinitely • 25%
Ceasefire with territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial concessions • 25%
No ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful on pro-Russia terms • 25%
Successful on neutral terms • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, continued negotiations • 25%
No agreement, talks break down • 25%
Meeting postponed or canceled • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement with territorial concessions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Negotiations abandoned • 25%
No official outcome • 25%