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Will TikTok obtain an injunction to block the U.S. ban by January 19, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
U.S. court decisions and official announcements from the U.S. Court of Appeals or Supreme Court
Story
TikTok Appeals U.S. Ban Effective January 19, 2025, as Trump Signals Support
Dec 9, 2024, 07:24 AM
On Friday, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit upheld a law requiring TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to sell the popular app or face a ban in the United States by January 19, 2025. TikTok, which has 170 million U.S. users, and ByteDance have filed an emergency motion seeking an injunction to block the law until their appeal can be heard by the Supreme Court. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may try to halt the ban and save the app. The legislation reflects bipartisan concerns in Congress over national security and data privacy. TikTok argues that the ban would violate the First Amendment and denies allegations of data misuse.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Injunction granted • 33%
Injunction denied • 33%
Settlement reached • 34%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%