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What will be the outcome of the unified governance structure between West Bank and Gaza by end of 2025?
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Antony Blinken•Palestinian•Palestinian Authority•Gaza Strip•Hamas•Blinken•Israel•West Bank•Gaza•United Nations
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Implementation delayed • 25%
Official announcements from the Palestinian Authority or credible international news agencies
Story
Blinken Urges Israel to Accept Time-Bound Path for Palestinian Statehood, Calls for Palestinian Authority to Govern Gaza Strip
Jan 14, 2025, 03:53 PM
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken outlined a framework for a future Palestinian state during a recent address. He emphasized the need for the Palestinian Authority to take control of the Gaza Strip following a ceasefire, ensuring that Hamas does not govern the area. Blinken stated that reforms within the Palestinian Authority are essential for this transition. He urged Israel to accept a 'time-bound, conditions-based' path toward the establishment of a Palestinian state, advocating for a unified governance structure between the West Bank and Gaza. Blinken also called for international partners to assist in creating an interim administration in Gaza, which would operate under the oversight of a senior United Nations official. The interim security mission would involve forces from partner nations and vetted Palestinian personnel, aiming to stabilize the region post-conflict.
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Status quo maintained • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Israeli administration • 25%
International oversight • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire implemented • 25%
Partial ceasefire with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
No ceasefire, continued conflict • 25%
Increased international military intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Collapse of authority • 25%
Strengthened through external support • 25%
Stable with no major changes • 25%
Increased instability • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Arab League • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Neither • 25%
Hostage deal only • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire • 25%