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What change, if any, will occur in Israeli government policy towards Gaza by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government or credible news sources
Story
Israel's Defense Minister Katz: Security Control Over Gaza with Freedom of Action After Hamas Defeat, Similar to West Bank
Dec 17, 2024, 06:33 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Yisrael Katz has stated that following the defeat of Hamas, Israel will establish security control over Gaza, allowing for full operational freedom in the region. Katz emphasized that this control would be akin to Israel's security arrangements in the West Bank. His remarks come amidst ongoing military operations aimed at dismantling Hamas's military and governmental capabilities in Gaza. Katz's statements reflect a strategic shift in Israel's approach to security in the region, reinforcing the government's commitment to maintaining a strong security presence post-conflict.
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Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Increased policy severity • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Policy modification • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Policy becomes more conciliatory • 25%
Policy becomes more aggressive • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No response • 25%
Support • 25%
Increased aid • 25%
Conditional aid • 25%
Decreased aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Other significant cabinet reshuffle • 25%
No changes • 25%
Yariv Levin becomes permanent PM • 25%
New acting PM appointed • 25%
Change in both • 25%
No change • 25%
Change in Hamas leadership • 25%
Change in Israeli leadership • 25%