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What changes will occur in Palestinian governance in Gaza by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas remains in control • 25%
Palestinian Authority takes control • 25%
New governing body formed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies or official announcements from Palestinian authorities
Story
Israel's Defense Minister Katz: Full Security Control Over Gaza Post-Hamas Defeat, Similar to West Bank
Dec 17, 2024, 07:44 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that following the military defeat of Hamas, Israel will establish full security control over Gaza, similar to its current operations in the West Bank. Katz emphasized that Israel will have complete freedom of action in the region, rejecting any return to the pre-October 7 status quo. His remarks come amid ongoing military operations and reflect Israel's intent to maintain a permanent presence in Gaza, ensuring that terrorists cannot threaten Israeli civilians from the area again. Katz's position aligns with previous statements made to U.S. officials, indicating a strategic shift in Israel's approach to Gaza post-conflict.
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Partial changes • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Unknown status • 25%
New governance structure established • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Other • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Economic development focus • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Continuation of current strategy • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Initiation of peace talks • 25%
Increase in military operations • 25%
Israeli-appointed administration • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Other • 25%
International oversight • 25%
Palestinian Authority • 25%
Israeli administration • 25%
No change in governance • 25%
Hamas agrees to power-sharing • 25%
Hamas retains full control • 25%
Hamas replaced by a new governing body • 25%
Complete Israeli control • 25%
Hostage deal with no further conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Mahmoud Abbas remains President • 25%
New President elected • 25%
Interim leadership established • 25%
No clear leadership change • 25%