Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the Supreme Court case on ByteDance's divestment of TikTok by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Divestment Required • 25%
Divestment Not Required • 25%
Case Deferred • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Supreme Court ruling and official announcements
Story
Trump Backs TikTok as Supreme Court Hears Case on Jan. 10 Over ByteDance Divestment by Jan. 19
Jan 3, 2025, 09:51 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed his support for TikTok, questioning the rationale behind banning the app given its popularity on his personal and campaign accounts. Trump's personal TikTok account has garnered 1.4 billion total views, averaging 24 million views per post, while his campaign account has received 2.4 billion total views, averaging 6 million views per post. The @teamtrump account on TikTok has received eight times more total views than on Instagram. This comes as the U.S. Department of Justice urged the Supreme Court to reject Trump's request to delay a law that would ban TikTok in the U.S. unless its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, divests by January 19. The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on January 10 regarding the law, which TikTok argues violates free speech rights. The Biden administration opposes Trump's delay request, emphasizing national security concerns related to TikTok's Chinese ownership. If the ban is upheld, it could impact millions of small businesses and individual creators who use the platform, potentially shifting advertising dollars to competitors like Meta and Alphabet.
View original story
Similar markets
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Uphold divestiture order • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
Overturn divestiture order • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Overturn the law • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Delay enforcement • 25%
Uphold the law • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
In favor of ByteDance • 25%
Against ByteDance • 25%
Partial ruling • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Appeal Denied • 33%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Supreme Court blocks order • 25%
Supreme Court upholds order • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
No Decision by Deadline • 34%
Appeal Denied • 33%
Ban paused • 33%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%