Loading...
Market
What will be the Supreme Court's decision on the TikTok sale law by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Overturn the law • 25%
Uphold the law • 25%
Delay enforcement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court ruling or official announcements from the court.
Story
Supreme Court Weighs TikTok Ban Amid Free Speech, Security Clash
Jan 9, 2025, 07:52 PM
The US Supreme Court is set to hear oral arguments on Friday, January 10, 2025, over a federal law passed in April 2024 requiring TikTok, owned by Chinese company ByteDance, to be sold by January 19 or face a ban in the United States due to national security concerns. TikTok, used by approximately 170 million Americans, has announced that it plans to shut down its US operations on January 19 unless the Supreme Court overturns or delays the law requiring its sale. The company is challenging the law, citing free speech rights under the First Amendment. The case presents a collision between national security concerns and free speech, and its outcome could have significant implications for the social media landscape and the First Amendment.
View original story
Similar markets
Injunction granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Injunction denied • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
Sale enforced • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Uphold ban starting Jan 19, 2025 • 33%
Overturn ban completely • 34%
Pause ban until Jan 20, 2025 • 33%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No decision • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Overturn divestiture order • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Uphold divestiture order • 25%
Delay denied • 33%
Delay granted • 33%
Case dismissed • 34%