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What will be the outcome of the Rome meeting on the Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal by August 15, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreed upon • 25%
Hostage deal agreed upon • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage deal agreed upon • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Official statements from the governments involved or credible news sources like Reuters or BBC.
Story
Israel Submits Updated Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Proposal to U.S.
Jul 27, 2024, 02:01 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced that Israel will submit a new ceasefire proposal to Hamas following a meeting with U.S. President Joe Biden. The updated proposal, which includes a Gaza hostage deal, was delivered to the United States on Saturday. This proposal will be discussed in a meeting with Qatar and Egypt in Rome, involving Mossad. The information was confirmed by an Israeli senior official and two other sources with knowledge of the issue.
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Similar markets
Successful Hostage Release • 25%
Failed Negotiations • 25%
Ongoing Negotiations • 25%
Negotiations Abandoned • 25%
Full release of hostages • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No release of hostages • 25%
Negotiations fail • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Neither • 25%
Ceasefire agreement signed • 25%
Hostage release deal finalized without ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations extended • 25%
Full Ceasefire and Hostage Release Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement with Continued Negotiations • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement delayed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement indefinite • 25%
Deal reached with all terms met • 25%
Partial deal reached • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Deal negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire and hostage release deal finalized • 25%
Only ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Only hostage release deal reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Successful negotiation • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Agreement on Hostages/Prisoners • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Talks Postponed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks fail • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Hostage deal reached with six-week withdrawal • 25%
Hostage deal reached without withdrawal • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Other • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Hostage situation unresolved • 25%