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Israel Submits Updated Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Proposal to U.S.

Jul 27, 2024, 02:01 PM

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced that Israel will submit a new ceasefire proposal to Hamas following a meeting with U.S. President Joe Biden. The updated proposal, which includes a Gaza hostage deal, was delivered to the United States on Saturday. This proposal will be discussed in a meeting with Qatar and Egypt in Rome, involving Mossad. The information was confirmed by an Israeli senior official and two other sources with knowledge of the issue.

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Will Hamas accept the Gaza hostage deal by October 31, 2024?

Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Hamas•Joe Biden•Gaza•United States•Qatar•Egypt•Rome•Mossad

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statements from Hamas, Israeli government, or credible news sources like Al Jazeera or CNN.

Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire based on the updated proposal by September 30, 2024?

Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Hamas•Joe Biden•Gaza•United States•Qatar•Egypt•Rome•Mossad

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or credible news sources like Reuters or BBC.

Will the U.S. formally endorse the updated Gaza ceasefire proposal by August 31, 2024?

Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Hamas•Joe Biden•Gaza•United States•Qatar•Egypt•Rome•Mossad

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from the U.S. government or credible news sources like The New York Times or The Washington Post.

What will be Hamas's reaction to the updated Gaza ceasefire proposal by August 31, 2024?

Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Hamas•Joe Biden•Gaza•United States•Qatar•Egypt•Rome•Mossad

Resolution / Starting Odds

Accepts proposal • 25%

No response • 25%

Requests modifications • 25%

Rejects proposal • 25%

Official statements from Hamas or credible news sources like Al Jazeera or CNN.

What will be the outcome of the Rome meeting on the Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal by August 15, 2024?

Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Hamas•Joe Biden•Gaza•United States•Qatar•Egypt•Rome•Mossad

Resolution / Starting Odds

Hostage deal agreed upon • 25%

No agreement reached • 25%

Ceasefire agreed upon • 25%

Both ceasefire and hostage deal agreed upon • 25%

Official statements from the governments involved or credible news sources like Reuters or BBC.

What will be the outcome of the U.S. involvement in the Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal negotiations by October 31, 2024?

Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Israel•Hamas•Joe Biden•Gaza•United States•Qatar•Egypt•Rome•Mossad

Resolution / Starting Odds

Negative impact • 25%

Successful mediation • 25%

Partial success • 25%

No impact • 25%

Official statements from the U.S. government or credible news sources like The New York Times or The Washington Post.