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What will be the outcome of the Gaza ceasefire negotiations by August 24, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement signed • 25%
Hostage release deal finalized without ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations extended • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government, Hamas, or other involved parties reported by major news outlets
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Biden Aims for Gaza Ceasefire and Hostage Release Deal Amid Regional Tensions
Aug 17, 2024, 08:07 AM
President Joe Biden announced that a Gaza ceasefire and hostage release deal is nearing completion, with talks ongoing in Qatar. The Biden administration aims to finalize the agreement by the end of next week, according to a senior U.S. official. Biden has warned all parties in the Middle East not to undermine these efforts, emphasizing the importance of maintaining stability in the region. Despite Biden's optimism, a Hamas official dismissed the notion of an imminent truce as an 'illusion.' The U.S. is also working to deter Iran and Hezbollah from actions that could jeopardize the negotiations. Additionally, aid planning is underway as part of the ceasefire talks.
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Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
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