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What will be the outcome of the resolution urging arrest of President Yoon by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Arrest of Yoon and officials • 25%
No arrests but resignation • 25%
No arrests and no resignation • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official announcements from South Korean authorities or verified news reports
Story
South Korean Parliament Urges Arrest of President Yoon and 7 Officials, Discusses Snap Election
Dec 10, 2024, 08:11 AM
South Korea's National Assembly has passed a resolution urging the immediate arrest of President Yoon Suk-yeol and seven other officials following a botched martial law declaration on December 3. The resolution, passed on December 10, has led to discussions within the ruling party about potential scenarios to minimize political fallout, including the possibility of Yoon's resignation by the end of April next year, followed by a snap election two months later.
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Similar markets
Resolution overturned • 25%
President Yoon arrested • 25%
President Yoon not arrested, but investigation continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successfully detained • 25%
Voluntarily surrenders • 25%
Flees the country • 25%
Still at large • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Arrest warrant invalidated • 25%
Arrest executed with PSS interference • 25%
Arrest executed without incident • 25%
Arrest not executed by deadline • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Case postponed • 34%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Removed from office • 25%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment initiated • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Impeachment proceedings • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Travel ban imposed • 25%
Majority support Yoon • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Public opinion is divided • 25%
Majority oppose Yoon • 25%