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What will be the outcome of President Yoon's impeachment trial by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Case postponed • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Removed from office • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcement from the Constitutional Court of South Korea
Story
Arrested Ex-Defense Minister Drafted Martial Law with Curfew, President Yoon Ordered Its Removal Amid Impeachment
Dec 26, 2024, 02:14 AM
The legal team of former South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun, who was arrested in connection with the December 3 martial law declaration, has revealed that he drafted the initial version of a martial law proclamation, which included a curfew for the public. However, President Yoon Suk Yeol ordered the removal of the curfew clause from the draft. This disclosure comes amidst an ongoing impeachment trial against President Yoon, centered on his brief declaration of martial law on December 3. Kim's lawyers have defended the martial law decree, arguing it was necessary to address anti-state elements threatening the country's democracy. Kim attempted suicide while in detention on December 11. The controversy surrounding the martial law declaration led to President Yoon's impeachment by parliament on December 14, with the outcome of his trial to be determined by the Constitutional Court.
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Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other resolution • 34%
Reinstated • 33%
Removed from office • 33%
Not impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Decision delayed • 34%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Resigns before impeachment • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeached • 33%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%