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What will be the outcome of the renewed attempt to detain President Yoon by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successfully detained • 25%
Still at large • 25%
Flees the country • 25%
Voluntarily surrenders • 25%
Official announcements from South Korean police or government agencies
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South Korean Court Reissues Arrest Warrant for Impeached President Yoon Over Martial Law Bid
Jan 7, 2025, 10:21 AM
South Korea's anti-corruption agency has requested the police to take over efforts to detain impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol, following a failed attempt to arrest him last week due to a standoff with the presidential security service. Investigators are seeking an extension of the arrest warrant, which was due to expire on Monday. On Tuesday, a South Korean court reissued the arrest warrant for President Yoon over his attempted imposition of martial law, extending its validity. The validity period of the new warrant has not been disclosed. The anti-corruption agency plans to coordinate with the police for a renewed attempt to detain the embattled leader, who remains at his Seoul residence.
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No arrests but resignation • 25%
Arrest of Yoon and officials • 25%
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Arrest executed with PSS interference • 25%
Arrest warrant invalidated • 25%
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Arrest executed without incident • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Case postponed • 34%
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Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
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Travel ban imposed • 25%
Impeachment proceedings • 25%
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Case dismissed • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
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President Yoon arrested • 25%
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