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What will be the outcome of the impeachment process against President Yoon by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean National Assembly or Constitutional Court
Story
South Korea's Opposition Submits Impeachment Motion Against President Yoon, Vote Scheduled
Dec 4, 2024, 09:28 AM
South Korea's opposition parties have submitted a motion to impeach President Yoon Suk Yeol following his brief imposition of martial law, which was swiftly rescinded after drawing troops to encircle parliament. The move to impeach Yoon comes in the wake of a political crisis, with lawmakers from six opposition parties signing the impeachment motion. This unprecedented action was prompted by Yoon's declaration of martial law on Tuesday, which he reversed hours later, leading to widespread protests and a unanimous vote by parliament to lift the order. The opposition's impeachment motion, signed by 190 opposition lawmakers and one independent, reflects the significant political turmoil and the public's reaction to the martial law decree. An impeachment vote in parliament could take place as early as Friday or Saturday, while a general strike has been launched demanding Yoon's resignation.
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Not Impeached • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Case postponed • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Resigns before impeachment • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeachment fails • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Impeachment passes • 33%
Impeachment initiated • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%