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What will be the outcome of the protests regarding Yoon Suk Yeol by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yoon arrested • 25%
Impeachment invalidated • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements or major news outlets covering the resolution of protests
Story
South Koreans Protest as Impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol Defies Arrest Warrant
Jan 11, 2025, 10:12 AM
Thousands of South Koreans have taken to the streets in protest as impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol refuses to comply with a court-issued arrest warrant. Demonstrators from opposing groups gathered in Seoul, with some demanding Yoon's arrest and others calling for his impeachment to be declared invalid. The unrest follows Yoon's directive to soldiers to storm parliament in an attempt to prevent a vote against martial law, which led to his impeachment. Yoon, facing charges of insurrection, remains barricaded in his official residence, which has been fortified with barbed wire and vehicles. The presidential security chief resigned amid questions about blocking Yoon's arrest, and Acting Leader Deputy Prime Minister Choi Sang-mok has urged lawmakers to resolve the crisis through an independent investigation.
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Protests continue • 25%
Protests end • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Protests diminish • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Protests lead to new government policies • 25%
Protests subside with no major change • 25%
Protests escalate into larger national movement • 25%
Protests lead to President Yoon's resignation • 25%
Yoon exiled or flees the country • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Yoon remains at large • 25%
Yoon arrested and charged • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Arrest Warrant Issued • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Protests intensify • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Other • 25%
No charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
Trial ongoing • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Other • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Reinstated • 25%
Resigns before decision • 25%