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Outcome of protests against President Yoon by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Protests subside with no major change • 25%
Protests lead to President Yoon's resignation • 25%
Protests lead to new government policies • 25%
Protests escalate into larger national movement • 25%
Credible news outlets reporting on the status of protests and any resulting actions
Story
South Korean President Yoon Survives Impeachment Over Martial Law After Ruling Party Boycotts Vote
Dec 7, 2024, 12:51 PM
On Saturday, South Korea's parliament failed to impeach President Yoon Suk-yeol after lawmakers from the ruling People Power Party boycotted the vote, resulting in insufficient quorum. The opposition-led impeachment motion was prompted by President Yoon's brief imposition of martial law earlier this week, which has sparked widespread protests outside parliament with thousands calling for his resignation. Prior to the impeachment vote, the parliament also failed to pass a bill to investigate scandals involving the first lady. As a result, President Yoon will remain in office for now.
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President Yoon resigns • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
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