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Will protests against Yoon Suk Yeol continue into January 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets such as Reuters or BBC
Story
South Korean President Faces Impeachment Vote Saturday Over Failed Martial Law; Approval Rating at 11%
Dec 13, 2024, 06:29 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol faces a second impeachment vote scheduled for Saturday at 5 p.m. (3 a.m. ET) on December 14, following his failed attempt to impose martial law. Opposition leader Lee Jae-myung has urged lawmakers to support the motion, warning that 'history will remember' their actions. Yoon and several cabinet ministers, military commanders, and police officials are under criminal investigation for the botched martial law declaration. Amid accusations of opposition obstruction and slackness on national security, Yoon's approval rating has plummeted to a record low of 11%, according to a Gallup poll. Protests have erupted, with hundreds of citizens gathering in front of the president's residence demanding his resignation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Protests continue • 25%
Protests end • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Protests diminish • 25%
Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests Subside • 33%
Protests Intensify • 25%
Protests Subside • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Protests End • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests intensify • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Protests lead to warrant extension • 25%
Protests lead to Yoon's arrest • 25%
Protests lead to no change • 25%
Protesters disband without resolution • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Violence or unrest • 25%
Government concession • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
President remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
President resigns • 25%