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What will be the outcome of the investigation into Yoon Suk Yeol by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No charges • 25%
Charged but not convicted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from South Korean judiciary or Corruption Investigation Office
Story
Yoon Suk Yeol Accused of Authorizing Military Force in Failed Martial Law Attempt Amid Third Summons and Arrest Warrant Possibility
Dec 28, 2024, 10:07 PM
Yoon Suk Yeol, South Korea's impeached president, has been accused of authorizing the military to use force during his failed attempt to impose martial law. According to a report from South Korean prosecutors, Yoon permitted the military to fire their weapons if necessary to enter parliament amid his efforts to impose martial law. This revelation has intensified scrutiny on Yoon, who has been under investigation for his actions related to the martial law declaration. Additionally, Yoon has refused to comply with a third summons from the Corruption Investigation Office, raising the possibility of an arrest warrant being issued against him. His refusal to appear for questioning is part of an ongoing investigation into allegations of insurrection and abuse of power linked to his martial law bid, which has been described as a significant political crisis in South Korea.
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Investigation ongoing • 25%
Charged with lesser offenses • 25%
Charged with treason • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
Arrest Warrant Issued • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Found guilty • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No charges • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
Other • 25%
Acquittals • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ongoing Investigations • 25%
Convictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Charges filed against Yoon • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Charges filed against other officials • 25%
Guilty of Rebellion • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Charges Dropped • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Charges filed against Yoon Suk-yeol • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No charges, but reprimand issued • 25%
Found Guilty • 25%
Charges Dropped • 25%
Ongoing Investigation • 25%
Found Not Guilty • 25%
President Yoon arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
President Yoon cleared of charges • 25%