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What will be the outcome of the Philippine Coast Guard's monitoring of Chinese vessels by December 31, 2024?
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China•South China Sea•Philippines•Philippine Coast Guard•Manila•Philippine•Teresa Magbanua•Sabina Shoal•Chinese•Ayungin Shoal•Escoda Shoal
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in Chinese vessels • 25%
Decrease in Chinese vessels • 25%
No change in number of vessels • 25%
Philippine vessels forced to withdraw • 25%
Verified reports from the Philippine Coast Guard or major news outlets
Story
China Anchors Largest Coast Guard Vessel at Sabina Shoal in Philippine Waters
Jul 7, 2024, 10:28 PM
China's largest coast guard vessel, the 165-meter CCG-5901, has anchored in the South China Sea within the Philippines' exclusive economic zone (EEZ). The Philippine Coast Guard reported that the vessel entered Manila's 200-nautical mile EEZ on July 2 and anchored 800 yards from a Philippine vessel, Teresa Magbanua, at the disputed Sabina Shoal. The presence of the Chinese vessel is seen as an attempt to intimidate the Philippines. China claims sovereignty over these waters and asserts that the vessel is conducting maritime law enforcement. Additionally, the Armed Forces of the Philippines reported the sighting of several Chinese ships near Ayungin Shoal and the CCG-5901 has been anchored at Escoda Shoal since July 3.
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Formal diplomatic protest by Philippines • 25%
New maritime restrictions by China • 25%
Third-party diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant actions taken • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military standoff • 25%
Other • 25%
Deploy another vessel • 25%
Engage in a new standoff • 25%
Withdraw all vessels • 25%
No significant action • 25%
China found at fault • 25%
Philippines found at fault • 25%
Both found at fault • 25%
No fault determined • 25%
Continue operations as usual • 25%
Increase operations • 25%
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Halt operations • 25%
Return to Sabina Shoal • 25%
Deploy to another disputed area • 25%
Conduct joint exercises with allies • 25%
No major action • 25%
China is found at fault • 25%
Philippines is found at fault • 25%
Both are found at fault • 25%
No fault determined • 25%
Successful with no incidents • 25%
Successful with minor incidents • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Yes • 50%
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Philippines removes vessel • 25%
Philippines maintains vessel • 25%
Joint management agreement • 25%
Other • 25%