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Will the Philippine Coast Guard increase its presence in the South China Sea by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
National maritime council reports, AIS tracking data
Story
Philippine Coast Guard Vessel Leaves Disputed South China Sea Shoal, Returns to Port
Sep 15, 2024, 05:11 AM
The Philippine Coast Guard vessel BRP Teresa Magbanua has left the disputed Sabina Shoal in the South China Sea after more than five months of sentinel duties. The 97-meter ship had been anchored at the contested reef as part of the Philippines' efforts to assert its maritime claims in the region. The vessel's departure was confirmed by the national maritime council on Sunday. AIS shows that the BRP Teresa Magbanua has returned to port, marking a significant development in the ongoing territorial disputes in the South China Sea.
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Continue operations as usual • 25%
Increase operations • 25%
Decrease operations • 25%
Halt operations • 25%
Increase in Chinese vessels • 25%
Decrease in Chinese vessels • 25%
No change in number of vessels • 25%
Philippine vessels forced to withdraw • 25%
Deploy another vessel • 25%
Engage in a new standoff • 25%
Withdraw all vessels • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence • 25%
Increased Chinese military presence • 25%
Increased joint military exercises by ASEAN countries • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Philippine military exercise • 25%
Chinese military exercise • 25%
Joint exercise with allies • 25%
No significant movement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
