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What will be the outcome of the major operation against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon by end of 2024?
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Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Hezbollah•Southern Lebanon•Allenby Bridge•Netanyahu•Israel•National Security•West Bank•IDF•Smotrich•Iran
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful with minimal casualties • 25%
Successful with significant casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government or credible news sources like Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Netanyahu Orders Major Operation Against Hezbollah, Cites Iran and West Bank Threats
Sep 8, 2024, 10:52 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered the military and defense establishment to prepare for a major operation against Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon. This decision follows a series of escalations, including a terrorist attack at the Allenby Bridge that resulted in the deaths of three Israeli citizens. Netanyahu emphasized the need to ensure the safety of northern Israel's residents and return them to their homes. National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has urged Netanyahu to expand the war goals to include defeating terror groups in the West Bank. IDF officials have attributed the escalation of violence in the West Bank to ministers Ben-Gvir and Smotrich. Netanyahu also highlighted the threat posed by Iran, describing it as leading a 'murderous ideology' and an 'axis of evil.'
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Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah moderately weakened • 25%
Hezbollah remains strong • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Israeli military achieves significant territorial gains • 25%
Hezbollah successfully defends its positions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Heavy casualties on both sides • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah strengthens • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Operations successfully destroy Hezbollah border sites • 25%
Operations partially successful • 25%
Operations fail • 25%
Operations lead to escalation • 25%
Major Success for Israel • 25%
Minor Success for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Major Success for Hezbollah • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah gains strength • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful ground invasion and significant degradation of Hezbollah • 25%
Limited ground invasion with minor impact on Hezbollah • 25%
No ground invasion but continued airstrikes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah remains largely intact • 25%
Hezbollah strengthens • 25%
Inconclusive outcome • 25%
Israel declares victory • 25%
Hezbollah declares victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Significant reduction in Hezbollah's activities • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Escalation to full-scale conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Successful in neutralizing Hezbollah threat • 25%
Limited success with ongoing threats • 25%
No significant impact on Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%