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What will be the outcome of the Israeli offensive against Hezbollah by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Israeli military achieves significant territorial gains • 25%
Hezbollah successfully defends its positions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli military or credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Israeli Military to Accelerate Offensive Against Hezbollah Today
Sep 24, 2024, 11:06 AM
Israeli Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi announced that the Israeli military will accelerate its offensive operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon today. In an assessment of the situation, Halevi emphasized that Hezbollah must not be given a break and called for continued vigorous action in all arenas. He also mentioned that all formations will be thickened. The decision to intensify military actions comes amid ongoing tensions between Israel and Hezbollah.
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Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah gains ground • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Hezbollah strengthens • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Hezbollah significantly weakened • 25%
Hezbollah moderately weakened • 25%
Hezbollah remains strong • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-Scale War • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Hezbollah disarmed • 25%
Israel withdraws • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-intensity conflict • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued low-level skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Hezbollah Victory • 25%
IDF Victory • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful ground invasion and significant degradation of Hezbollah • 25%
Limited ground invasion with minor impact on Hezbollah • 25%
No ground invasion but continued airstrikes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
International Mediation • 25%