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What will be the outcome of the investigation into Marine Le Pen and the National Rally party by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No charges filed • 25%
Charges filed against Marine Le Pen • 25%
Charges filed against other National Rally members • 25%
Charges filed against both Le Pen and other members • 25%
Official statements from the Paris prosecutor's office or French judicial system
Story
French Prosecutors Investigate Marine Le Pen, National Rally Over 2022 Campaign Financing Fraud
Jul 9, 2024, 10:08 AM
French prosecutors have launched an investigation into Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Rally party, over allegations of illegal financing of her 2022 presidential campaign. The Paris prosecutor's office is probing suspicions that Le Pen's party misappropriated taxpayer-generated funds from the European Parliament to support her campaign, BFMTV reports. This investigation follows the National Rally's unexpected defeat in the recent elections, where the Socialists and Communists emerged victorious just days after.
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No charges • 25%
Charges but no conviction • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Other • 25%
All guilty • 25%
All not guilty • 25%
Mixed verdict • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Found guilty and sentenced to prison • 25%
Found guilty but no prison sentence • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Trial extended beyond 2024 • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted with prison sentence • 25%
Convicted with fine only • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Convicted and sentenced to prison • 25%
Convicted but no prison sentence • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial or retrial ordered • 25%
Banned from holding public office • 25%
Allowed to run for president in 2027 • 25%
Receives a fine but no ban • 25%
No penalties • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Convicted and banned • 25%
Convicted but granted exception • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%