Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of the ceasefire proposal between Israel and Hamas by November 30, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release deal agreed • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release deal agreed • 25%
Neither agreed • 25%
Public announcements from the Israeli government or Hamas, credible news sources
Story
Israel Receives Hamas' Response to Gaza Ceasefire Proposal, Including Hostage Release Deal and Articles 8 and 14
Jul 3, 2024, 06:51 PM
Mediators have conveyed Hamas' response to Israel regarding a Gaza ceasefire proposal, according to Israel's Mossad. Hamas has indicated that it exchanged 'some ideas' with mediators to end the conflict in Gaza. An Israeli official noted that the response is workable but acknowledged that significant challenges remain. The proposal includes a hostage release deal and a ceasefire. The Israeli official mentioned that Hamas' response makes it possible to reach an agreement on Articles 8 and 14, which are the main gaps between the parties. Discussions are expected to take place with Prime Minister Netanyahu and Minister of Defense Gallant to formulate a policy towards Hamas' response and decide on further negotiations in Qatar or Egypt, according to Axios.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached with Barghouti's release • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached without Barghouti's release • 25%
No ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement only • 25%
Hostage deal only • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage deal • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement Reached • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Partial Agreement Reached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Complete adherence by both sides • 25%
Partial adherence with minor violations • 25%
Significant violations by either side • 25%
Complete breakdown of the ceasefire • 25%
Comprehensive ceasefire deal reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Ceasefire not achieved • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations collapsed • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release without ceasefire • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release agreement reached • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release agreements reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks permanently halted • 25%
Other • 25%
Cease-fire agreement with hostage release • 25%
Cease-fire agreement without hostage release • 25%
No cease-fire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreed and implemented • 25%
Ceasefire agreed but not implemented • 25%
Ceasefire not agreed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Hostage release-for-ceasefire deal • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement not reached • 25%
Partial agreement with conditions • 25%
Talks break down completely • 25%