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What will be the outcome of the current ceasefire negotiations between Hamas and Israel by September 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire talks continue without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire talks permanently halted • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Hamas and Israeli government, major news outlets
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Hamas Withdraws, Accuses Israel of Stalling Gaza Ceasefire Talks
Jul 14, 2024, 07:13 AM
Hamas has accused Israel of stalling and obstructing ceasefire talks in Gaza, citing actions that jeopardize negotiations. The group claims mediators have not provided updates and blames Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for creating obstacles. Egyptian sources report that the truce talks have been halted until Israel shows seriousness, following three days of intense negotiations. Hamas officials have announced a withdrawal from the talks due to Israeli 'massacres' and lack of genuine intent in negotiations. However, there have been conflicting statements from Hamas regarding their withdrawal from the ceasefire talks. The negotiations also involve a hostage deal, and Hamas military chief Mohammed Deif was targeted in a recent Israeli strike. Ismail Haniyeh has communicated Hamas's stance to mediators.
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Ceasefire achieved • 25%
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