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What will be the outcome of ceasefire negotiations between Hamas and Israel by September 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
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Negotiations collapsed • 25%
Official statements from Hamas, Israeli government, or credible news sources like CNN, BBC
Story
Hamas Leader Sinwar Seeks Ceasefire in Gaza Amid Unclear Israeli Stance
Aug 11, 2024, 02:49 PM
Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar is reportedly seeking a ceasefire agreement in Gaza, according to multiple sources, including CNN and mediators from Egypt and Qatar. This development comes as negotiations are ongoing, with Sinwar's intentions being conveyed to Israeli officials. However, the stance of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on this potential deal remains unclear. Rami Igra, a former head of the hostages and missing person directorate in the Mossad, expressed skepticism about Sinwar's willingness to reach a deal, stating that Sinwar 'does not want a deal and has no reason to achieve a deal right now.' The situation is unfolding ahead of a critical summit scheduled for later this week.
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