Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Russian military instructors' deployment in Equatorial Guinea by the end of 2025?
2
Russia•Equatorial Guinea•West Africa•Western•Moscow•Africa•Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo•Mbasogo•Ugandan•Mali
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deployment successful with increased security • 25%
Deployment unsuccessful with no change in security • 25%
Deployment leads to increased regional tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Statements from Equatorial Guinea's government or reports from international news agencies
Story
Russia Deploys 200 Military Instructors to Equatorial Guinea to Bolster Security for President Mbasogo After 45 Years in Power
Nov 13, 2024, 08:16 AM
Russia has deployed approximately 200 military instructors to Equatorial Guinea as part of a strategy to bolster its influence in West Africa. This move is seen as a response to the waning Western presence in the region and aligns with Moscow's broader efforts to expand its military footprint across Africa. The instructors are reportedly tasked with training elite guards in the country's two main cities, as President Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo seeks to strengthen his government's security. Mbasogo, who has held power for 45 years, previously invited Ugandan troops to assist in protecting his administration following a failed coup in 2017. This deployment follows Russia's recent military activities in Africa, despite setbacks such as its defeat in Mali.
View original story
Similar markets
Maintain presence at both bases • 25%
Withdraw from both bases • 25%
Maintain presence at one base • 25%
Other • 25%
Bases maintained at current levels • 25%
Bases expanded • 25%
Bases reduced • 25%
Bases completely withdrawn • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Maintained presence • 25%
Reduced presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Troops withdrawn • 25%
Increased military cooperation • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Stabilization of Syria • 25%
Creation of a power vacuum • 25%
Strengthening of Iranian influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Stabilizing influence • 25%
Destabilizing influence • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Reinforcement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
All bases closed • 25%
Partial closure • 25%
No closure • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Increased Russian Control • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Increased Rebel Control • 25%
International Intervention • 25%
Significant gains for Russia • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Increased international intervention • 25%
Direct combat operations • 25%
Training Belarusian troops • 25%
Logistical support • 25%
Other • 25%