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What will be the impact of Russian influence on West African geopolitics by the end of 2025?
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Russia•Equatorial Guinea•West Africa•Western•Moscow•Africa•Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo•Mbasogo•Ugandan•Mali
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Russian influence • 25%
Decreased Russian influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Analyses from geopolitical think tanks or reports from major international news outlets
Story
Russia Deploys 200 Military Instructors to Equatorial Guinea to Bolster Security for President Mbasogo After 45 Years in Power
Nov 13, 2024, 08:16 AM
Russia has deployed approximately 200 military instructors to Equatorial Guinea as part of a strategy to bolster its influence in West Africa. This move is seen as a response to the waning Western presence in the region and aligns with Moscow's broader efforts to expand its military footprint across Africa. The instructors are reportedly tasked with training elite guards in the country's two main cities, as President Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo seeks to strengthen his government's security. Mbasogo, who has held power for 45 years, previously invited Ugandan troops to assist in protecting his administration following a failed coup in 2017. This deployment follows Russia's recent military activities in Africa, despite setbacks such as its defeat in Mali.
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Cultural influence • 25%
Political alliances • 25%
Religious conversions • 25%
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Stabilizing influence • 25%
Destabilizing influence • 25%
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Increased tensions with the West • 25%
Strengthened BRICS alliance • 25%
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Deterioration of relations • 25%
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Improvement in relations • 25%
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Alliance formation • 25%
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Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
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United States • 25%
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European Union • 25%
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