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What will be the outcome of President Yoon's impeachment process by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements by the South Korean government or major news outlets
Story
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol's Impeachment Vote Stalls as PPP Party Boycotts
Dec 7, 2024, 11:35 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol faced an impeachment vote in the National Assembly on Saturday over his attempt to impose martial law. The vote was stalled when all but two members of his ruling People Power Party (PPP) walked out of parliament, effectively boycotting the proceedings. This left the opposition in limbo, as at least eight MPs from Yoon's party would need to vote in favor of impeachment for the process to proceed. Protests in favor of the impeachment process were reported outside parliament, with demonstrators calling for Yoon's resignation.
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Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Case postponed • 34%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Not Impeached • 33%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%
Impeached • 33%
Withdrawn • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon resigns before conclusion • 25%
Other resolution • 34%
Reinstated • 33%
Removed from office • 33%